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I think by not replying you just come off as a jerk. There is little to no DHV or DLV on either side. Sometimes guys tend to overthink every aspect of interaction and that is what I think is going on here. If you want to say goodnight to her just say it....yeah she might check her phone in the morning to see if you texted but she isnt going to go gushing to her friends and say "omg i texted him goodnight and he didnt text back." And if she isn't complaining about it to her friends...then it doesnt really matter that much....you are probably giving it more thought than she is.
I am giving it more thought than needed, I agree. But I'm not going for her to consciously recognize that I didn't reply, I'm aiming for something more subtle, like a subconscious belief about me.
She's not thinking about it enough to just assume I'm being a jerk by not saying it back. And when I first started liking her I'd send her a good night message nearly every night. I want her to recognize I'm not gonna be some orbiter for her, I'm not gonna cater to her, etc. I'm fun to be around, and if she wants to continue to know and interact with me, it's gonna be more than a one-sided effort.